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Friday, March 20, 2009

Oil Price Drop Signals Conflict Somewhere

I guess each person has their own way of anticipating what MIGHT happen tomorrow.

I personally began to observe an admittedly UN-scientific trend in the rapid deflation of the price of crude-oil seeming to result in civil conflicts within various nations peripheral to OPEC countries.

I don't claim any clairvoyant powers. But the seemingly irrational connection between the rapid deflation of crude-oil prices and random convulsions in civil order in these "OPEC-peripheral"
countries has played itself out again and again since the 1970s enough times that I can't help but believe that the connection exists.

The downside for people who might try to exploit this connection for monetary- or political-gain is that although the trend is predictable, the precise locus of said civil-unrest is NOT.

Why point it out then? you ask. Why Not?

-mattergy